Blacksmithing recipe
Expert's Orichalcum Dagger
Expert's Orichalcum Dagger is crafted with Blacksmithing at proficiency 15 from 1 × Splendent Orichalcum Dagger, 5 × Expert's Refining Stone, 6 × Fine Orichalcum Ore, 3 × Fine Odyle. A craft succeeds 76.8% of the time at your recipe's level and up to 94.6% with a higher proficiency. After a success, a combo (25% activation) can turn it into Expert's Splendent Orichalcum Dagger: 22.39% per craft at best.
Materials
Splendent Orichalcum Dagger× 1
Expert's Refining Stone× 5
Fine Orichalcum Ore× 6
Fine Odyle× 3Combo result
Odds and real cost
Our calculation from the recipe's chance table: crafts per success = 1 ÷ success chance; per combo result = 1 ÷ (success × activation × combo craft). Parts that a recipe can make are expanded too, each crafted at your proficiency minus its own recipe level. Assumed: a failed combo craft still gives the normal item (the game only says a successful combo replaces it), and one proficiency level for every profession.
Expected materials for 1 × Expert's Orichalcum Dagger
| Material | Expected |
|---|---|
 Orichalcum Ore | 46 |
 Refining Stone | 37.4 |
 Orichalcum Solvent (Bound) | 23 |
 Odyle | 14.9 |
| Fine Orichalcum Ore | 7.8 |
| Expert's Refining Stone | 6.5 |
| Fine Odyle | 3.9 |
Includes the intermediate crafts: 7.5 × Orichalcum Dagger, 23 × Orichalcum Ingot — each at your proficiency minus its own recipe level (the same proficiency is assumed for every profession).
Success chance by proficiency gap
CraftRecipeRate, as the game's Crafting Chance window shows it.
| Gap | Success | Combo result per craft |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76.83% | 14.76% |
| 1 | 77.72% | 15.1% |
| 2 | 78.72% | 15.49% |
| 3 | 79.31% | 15.73% |
| 5 | 81.62% | 16.66% |
| 10 | 85.06% | 18.09% |
| 15 | 87.77% | 19.26% |
| 20 | 89.63% | 20.08% |
| 30 | 92.43% | 21.36% |
| 40 | 94.37% | 22.26% |
Recipe ID 121035001 · internal name Recipe_Blacksmithing_D_wp_Dagger_Rare_001 · Data: client 2.0.6.0 (Steam build 25767555, 2026-10-07)