Artisan's Truth Orb

Materials

Expert's Splendent Truth Orb× 1

Crafted: 1 recipe

Artisan's Refining Stone× 5

Drops: Argo, the Spirit King — 100% per kill (+11 more) · Dungeon: Abyssal Forge: Ludra — 4.22% per clear

Pure Sapphire Gemstone× 8

Gathered: Sapphire · Quests: reward of 340 quests

Pure Odyle× 4

Gathered: Odyle · Quests: reward of 340 quests

Combo result

Artisan's Splendent Truth Orb25% chance to activate after a success, then its own craft chance

Odds and real cost

Our calculation from the recipe's chance table: crafts per success = 1 ÷ success chance; per combo result = 1 ÷ (success × activation × combo craft). Parts that a recipe can make are expanded too, each crafted at your proficiency minus its own recipe level. Assumed: a failed combo craft still gives the normal item (the game only says a successful combo replaces it), and one proficiency level for every profession.

Your proficiency: 30 (recipe level 30, you are 0 above)30 (just learned)80+ (best odds)

How many

Regular resultCombo result

Success

79.57%

Combo result

15.83%

25% activation × combo craft

Crafts per success

1.26

Crafts per combo

6.3

14 for a 90% chance

Expected materials for 1 × Artisan's Truth Orb

Material	Expected
Spiritstone	198.5
Refining Stone	163.2
Catalyst (Bound)	99.3
Odyle	65.3
Fine Sapphire Gemstone	39.1
Expert's Refining Stone	32.6
Fine Odyle	19.6
Pure Sapphire Gemstone	10.1
Artisan's Refining Stone	6.3
Pure Odyle	5

Includes the intermediate crafts: 6.5 × Expert's Truth Orb, 32.6 × Truth Orb, 99.3 × Magic Crystal — each at your proficiency minus its own recipe level (the same proficiency is assumed for every profession).

Success chance by proficiency gap

CraftRecipeRate, as the game's Crafting Chance window shows it.